


It's seems like this race for the White House has been going on for so long now! I consider myself a political junkie and typically cannot get enough, but wow, is it November already? To think we haven't even begun. The Dems don't even have a nominee yet!
As this website is usually 100 percent right on (never mind the Suns...what a dark day indeed!) I felt that the you all deserved a view from the cheap seats!
This year's election is very difficult to call. All three candidates have HUGE obstacles to overcome. You can make a case for why each of three COULD win. You can also make a case why each of three WILL NOT win. So here are the obstacles and what if anything the candidates must do to overcome them:
Barrack Obama's obstacle: Reverend Jeremiah Wright.
Just when Barrack was running away the nomination, video of his out-of-control, spiritual advisor were leaked (by the Clinton machine???). Obama very well will win the nomination (and not pick Hillary as a running mate), but this connection to his one time pastor may doom him in the general election, as he tries to become more middle of the road.
America has come along way, not letting race hinder a candidates chance to win the most powerful position in the world. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr, would be so proud, yet so sad. Proud that Barrack Obama could be so close to winning. Yet so sad that the racism of Rev. Wright could prevent that from happening. As Obama tries to distance himself from Wright, especially now that Wright is now clarifying his "out of context" comments, it will be interesting to see if Wright truly will sink Obama's chance of winning. Not too sure if Oprah can save him from this! Certainly alienating those clutching to their God and their guns doesn't help his chances either.
Hillary Rodham Clinton's obstacle: Hillary Rodham Clinton
Is America ready for a female president? Maybe. Is her name Hillary Rodham Clinton? Hell no!
Hillary will have a very difficult time overcoming her divisiveness! Just mentioning her name in many circles of this country sparks outrage! She does have a lot of support, as her last name is Clinton. Also being married to the first black president in America doesn't hurt either. But will that support be enough to offset those that will come out to vote, soley just to vote against her? Unlikely. The democrats have a better chance of winning the White House by picking Obama.
John McCain's obstacle: The GOP
Typically in a General Election the candidates will run towards the middle of the road. (The liberals become more conservative and the conservatives become more liberal). This may be an unusual election where all candidates try to become more conservative.
Senator McCain's true obstacle is winning over the Republican party, since he is a RINO (Republican In Name Only). If Hillary is the nominee, it won't take much to win over the party. If Obama is the nominee, it will be more difficult.
McCain is the most likely to overcome his obstacle and win the election, but he must absolutely play his cards right. He must pick a running mate that can get the Rush Limbaughs of the world on his side. Like him or hate him, Rush Limbaugh is the most powerful influence in the political world. Win over Rush and you will pick up millions of votes.
So what will happen?
Again because you have two liberal and one moderate candidates still in the race it is hard to predict what the outcome will be. The past two elections have proven that the country is pretty evenly split.
Republicans can take hope yet also be scared with George W. Bush winning the re-election in 2004. Bush was not very popular in 2004 but still managed to win. Was it because the republican base is greater than the democrat base or was it because his opponent was John F. Kerry? I believe the latter. However, the country may be ready for a drastic change. And not just a change to McCain, but a change to the far left.
Whether the economy, gas prices, the credit and housing mess, is Bush's fault or not you can be certain that the democrats message "of we need change" will not fall on deaf ears. Stay tuned as this election will be very, very interesting.
1 comment:
I am looking for a McCain win...I think Obama is truly a muslim and I dont think the US is ready for a muslim president....I see through the smoke and mirrors he has up and as a Democrat I simply cannot vote for a muslim president....(sorry)
Post a Comment